I remember a few years ago when I couldn't trade excellent stocks and super plays because of a certain saying about gaps.
"All gaps will be filled."
When I asked some good traders about certain setups that had gaps, some would always give a spooked and special warning. "Wag mo nang e trade yan! Hala sige, babalikan GAP nyan!" Which ultimately clouded my judgement.
What is a gap you ask?
A gap occurs when there's an intense buying or selling pressure on a stock, that the price opens a few to several flucs away from it's previous closing price.
Now going back to the statement that all gaps will be filled. Many would say this with the notion that the event will happen immediately or in the near future. But this is not ALWAYS true.
Gaps being closed may happen but the question here is... when?
A week? A month? A year? Probably a lifetime?
Assuming you didn't trade since late January of this year because of the gap that was created during that time - imagine all the opportunity losses.
Assuming you bought COSCO back in 2013 because of the belief that gaps get filled - Imagine your losses and how long you're ipit.
Gaps are simple events in our markets - if it doesn't get filled, it just means beastly forces are about to appear on the direction of the gap.
Exhibit A (Gap Down) |
Exhibit B (Gap Up) |
There are many other examples out there.
So the next time you spot an unfilled gap, try not to complicate things. Trade what you see.
Where do you get all your images? :)
ReplyDeleteI mean the paintings and arts :)
DeleteThe internet. That is dark and full of terrors. :P
Deleteprobably @ google
DeleteGaps are meant to be filled di mo lang alam kung kelan. Hehehehehe
ReplyDeleteParang promises lang.. Fulfilling it is.. Optional.
DeletePromises are made to be broken,
DeleteSo gaps are broken promises? Nyahahaha.
Patawa lang boss. Thanks sa article nyo. Hehehehe
lol. pwede!
DeleteThis is one of the things that clouded my judgement before. I didn't know how to interpret. Turns out you're better off ignoring them.
ReplyDeletesir zee what do you make out of the perfomance of pxp today?
ReplyDeleteGAPS are you best friend, just learn how to interpret it going down or going up. entry or sell. the author ZF samples are very clear. Happy investing.
ReplyDeleteJGS gap down last 2weeks ago. The next day theres a needle so i got and still holding now. Looking forward to fill the gap.
ReplyDeleteOo nga sir ano po nangyari sa PXP ngaun?? wala naman epekto gap nun sa post mo ser zee??
ReplyDeleteunfilled gaps are.... B. O. R...........GGGG!!!!?!!! but much beneficial when it's seen on an uptrend :)
ReplyDeleteGAP UP = Blow the Roof Off play while GAP DOWN = Black Hole Play - so the first pic itself showed that a leap of faith to trade either of these plays is very much required :)
Deleteif only pwede rin sa mga downtrending no when shorting is allowed.
DeleteHi ZF, that's why I'm so thankful to you and your blog here... you know what i mean :) regards!
Delete