Sleeper Plays.
Or in a more popular term,
"Bodega Plays"
"Bodega Plays"
Before we start, please click that lovely link below
and observe the stock allocation of the Mage Class
and observe the stock allocation of the Mage Class
During my adventures, I have met some traders who are
in this category big time. I was wondering how some people have
the strength to 'love' just a few stocks for months without rest.
You know, those who post relentlessly on threads of their
favorite stucks, sometimes just talking to themselves
or worse, creating multiple accounts just so these accounts
could talk to each other.
All just so others would take notice - maybe to hype, to
have the thread on the top pages, or some reason who
knows what. It's pretty damn funny sometimes.
in this category big time. I was wondering how some people have
the strength to 'love' just a few stocks for months without rest.
You know, those who post relentlessly on threads of their
favorite stucks, sometimes just talking to themselves
or worse, creating multiple accounts just so these accounts
could talk to each other.
All just so others would take notice - maybe to hype, to
have the thread on the top pages, or some reason who
knows what. It's pretty damn funny sometimes.
I'm sure you guys and gals have met a bunch.
Just a tip in dealing with these types:
Even if we're in the internet,
Never make eye contact.
Never
But the best part about these guys, is when the stock begins a
monster rally. And then they start acting like a know it all guru
and "telling you so." And those who oppose this new guru gets to
be ganged up by the crazy followers - Such magnificent
display of ignorance. But who cares?
monster rally. And then they start acting like a know it all guru
and "telling you so." And those who oppose this new guru gets to
be ganged up by the crazy followers - Such magnificent
display of ignorance. But who cares?
I'm actually guilty on some of these during my ignoramus days.
Moving on....
When dealing with sleepers, you should first ask
yourself these fundamental technical questions:
yourself these fundamental technical questions:
"Has the downtrend come to a stop
and is now on sideways?"
and is now on sideways?"
"Are there signs of bullishness or
higher low (HL) patterns?"
higher low (HL) patterns?"
If you answered yes. The next questions you should
consider if you plan on buying the sleeper are:
consider if you plan on buying the sleeper are:
"Am I willing to wait for at least 3 months?"
"Will I not be tempted if I see other stocks
flying and my sleeper continues to sleep?"
flying and my sleeper continues to sleep?"
If you answer Yes to these, then you're
another step to making that trade.
another step to making that trade.
Because most traders fail to prepare their minds.
And so these things happen:
And so these things happen:
Having the right mindset for the right kind of play and to
the right kind of trader is key to a successful trade.
the right kind of trader is key to a successful trade.
Which means, if you're a trader who loves
quick plays, don't go 'investing'
quick plays, don't go 'investing'
Or if you're buying to invest, don't get excited
every friggin' time your stock goes up.
That's not being multi-dimensional.
That's simply being moronic.
every friggin' time your stock goes up.
That's not being multi-dimensional.
That's simply being moronic.
Search the crevices of your soul and see if
you're a trader or an investor.
you're a trader or an investor.
Now for the last step.
Buying a sleeper means buying at a low range. And buying at
this particular range isn't very easy. For one, it's probably in
an illiquid state. Not a lot of transactions happening.
It can desecrate supports or even give wild upswings
if some trader suddenly loses his mind.
Couldn't get my earlier records. And it doesn't look the
same now because of those stock divs.
So you would have to adjust not just your expected timeframe,
but your exposure and cut points as well - because trust me,
you don't want to be in a "coma" when things go bad.
this particular range isn't very easy. For one, it's probably in
an illiquid state. Not a lot of transactions happening.
It can desecrate supports or even give wild upswings
if some trader suddenly loses his mind.
Couldn't get my earlier records. And it doesn't look the
same now because of those stock divs.
So you would have to adjust not just your expected timeframe,
but your exposure and cut points as well - because trust me,
you don't want to be in a "coma" when things go bad.
But If everything goes well and momentum picks up, volume
and liquidity will gradually improve. And all those days and
stress of hoarding for those shares will finally pay off.
And from here, you get to sweetly decide if you're
going to transition your play to TF or Momentum.
"But Zee, how will I know if it's game time?"
Simple. Once it breaks a major resistance.
Most prolly the 3 or 6 months resitance.
and liquidity will gradually improve. And all those days and
stress of hoarding for those shares will finally pay off.
And from here, you get to sweetly decide if you're
going to transition your play to TF or Momentum.
"But Zee, how will I know if it's game time?"
Simple. Once it breaks a major resistance.
Most prolly the 3 or 6 months resitance.
Keep this simple pyramid in mind.
It doesn't always look like that. But oh well.
You get to say some things when you're ZF.
And as to the upside once momentum kicks in?
Here's an idea:
http://zeefreaks.blogspot.com/2014/11/just-for-records-mrc.html
Here's another one courtesy of a legendary trading buddy:
(Snapshot as of 7.1.2015)
Here's another one courtesy of a legendary trading buddy:
(Snapshot as of 7.1.2015)
And just for this case study:
(Thanks in advance sa mga hypers and gurung ulols) |
Just make sure to put the necessary trail stops.
You don't want your gains to be eaten up.
Happy sleep-hunting!
Here's a cat in a painting for no reason.
Update 6.26.2015
(market closing)
So uhh. Yeah. Sleeper Plays.
Problem now is.. Where to sell?
I wish all my problems are like this.
Thanks for these inspirational blogs mr Zee. I love these "Search the crevices of your soul and see if
ReplyDeleteyou're a trader or an investor." and I must admit I am guilty. At first I insisted that I'm a long term investor and mentally conditioned my self. But deep inside me, my soul says I'm a natural born trader. So now, I do swing/day trading and have a peace of mind at last :)
happened to marc today lol...
ReplyDeletesir zee i noticed that your 2011 port has an equity of 200k while your 2012 port has an equity of 3M.. did you add on your equity? or did earn that for 1 year?
ReplyDeleteI did several capital infusions, and of course, roll some of the trading gains.
Deletekelan pa kya mag start ang ZF hedge fund?
ReplyDeleteBoss Z why dont you put up a school similar to Caylum Trading Institute? That way, mas marami kang matutulungan. btw, im a fan.
ReplyDelete