Market Thoughts : Gurus

Because they deserve a special place in the ZF blog.

I had a good talk with a friend during the weekend. He was mostly
 ranting about those "Gurus" in social media and forums. I must
 add, he had a special kind of scorn specially to the Gurus and
 wannabees in FB groups.

To summarize everything,

Malakas magbigay ng reco at magpost ng charts. 

Pero ni isang port snapshot wala. Even if your reco'ed stock went

 up but you don't have a single share in your port, then better 

STFU

Buti pa mga followers nila, kahit super ipit they 

have the guts to show theirs.

I'm no guru. But here's a snapshot of my trading port:

Port shaded to avoid hype accusations.

Trading the Zeefreaks Way

Dear Email Subscribers:

Due to popular demand, Batch 4 is now open for Those 
who are interested in learning to trade the Zeefreaks way.


Requirements: 


+ Years exposed to the Markets: Not more than 2 Years.
+ Available to take online classes (through skype). Lessons usually done from 8pm until you finish.
+ Capital: Between 500k-4M No more, no less.

Of course, this won't be free. And even if you are qualified, 
you will still be screened. Interested applicants must submit a 
snapshot of your current unshaded portfolio to ZF FB page through PM. Here's the LINK:

https://www.facebook.com/Zeefreaks

Slots are limited. First come first served. Offer lasts until January 15, 2015 or until slots are filled. Classes will start immediately after that.

Further queries will be entertained only if these requirements are met.

To the previous applicants, the rates are a bit higher now.

Note: If you fail to follow instructions you will be seenzoned. *gigols*

Slots already taken: 2

Just for the Records : PCOMP

Ok ok, here's the "noiseless" chart. 

I don't know about you but just in case things do turn out like 2007, I think it's best I start studying those "how to make money on bear markets for dummies" stuff.

 

The ISland : Market Sentiment Cycle

Just Adding this to my Collection of Sentiment Cycles.

(Click Image to Enlarge) 

Previous Posts:

http://zeefreaks.blogspot.com/2013/04/the-sentiment-cycle-tsi.html

http://zeefreaks.blogspot.com/2012/02/sentiment-cycle-win.html

http://zeefreaks.blogspot.com/2011/10/sentiment-cycle.html

Trading 101 : The Art of Cutting Losses

Losing in stocks is like having a bad relationship you want to end.

 But for some sentimental reason, you just can't.

Because...

Yeah Right...

And soon, you find yourself drained mentally  and physically by all

 the emotional baggage,. You could have let go and ended it. 

But no! you think to yourself:

"But it's already too late."

Or

"There's still hope!"

When you start chanting these words in your mind. Your port 

 might end up like the ports of two Basura fund managers 

that I happen to stumble upon somewhere.

Specimen A 

Specimen B 

Are you in a similar position? 

I'm sure the stocks in these ports didn't  become the vile 

beasts that they are overnight. So if you find yourself in a bad

position, sit back and evaluate.

"Is it time to let go?"

Cutting is painful. But if you don't want to be sitting in a corner 

crying like a little bitch, then end it early.

Remember : 

There is no shame in taking a loss. 

So cut to trade another day.

Want some Tips? Click here.

The ISland

You know there's a high chance a film is 

horror if the title has this pattern:

The + *insert random noun*

#truestory

Are you ready for the Dive?


Bulls make money, Bears make money, 

And Newbies get slaughtered. Unless they're really lucky.

 So Just for the records, I'll leave this here.

IS Weekly Chart As of 11/24/2014

No matter what the gurung ulols and your favorite barbero say, 
you know shit just hit the fan when that weekly RSI goes below 70.



Click below for Previous, Related Post:
http://zeefreaks.blogspot.com/2014/11/super-stocks-and-informant-part-2.html

Dear Trident and Pentatonic: if you are able to buy and 

have an average not higher than 5 flucs from the lowest 

bounce point, you get a one-time-no-expiry ticket to see

 my un-shaded trading port for 'cheating' purposes.

If you are able to buy exactly at the lowest point of the 

bounce, you get to trade with me on the next play.

Super Stocks and The "Informant" : Part 2

Just a glimpse of the future... 

And how I see those hardcore believers.

Click Here for Previous Post

Just for the Records : MRC

If you think I'm hyping, well.. I kinda am. Since I rarely post and show the stocks I hold, (unlike before.) My reason for buying is purely techs. No tips, no rumors, no "friends-tayo" buys. I'm just trying out this new case study of market cycles, and finding potential multibagger basuras before the crowd gets in. And currently, it's rewarding me well.

Because reading all those other crap, including those disclosures?

MRC Weekly Chart (As of 11/1/2014)

I don't have a TP. And if you're wondering why I don't 
make TPs then you better read this:

(Click Here For My Post on TPs)

Another reason why I'm posting this here is for bragging rights.
You see all those gurus and 'ginyoses' posting charts yet have not a
 single damned share in their port(s). When the end for this cycle comes, I'd
 like to be one of the annoying ones who say....

"I told you so..."

Now for those of you who read this post, and buy because of what
 you read just remember that I'm ready to unload my hoard when
the tide turns and my expectations are not met.

I understand that I've gained quite a number of haters, 
and people who just want to see my port burn.

Well... 

Port C : Sleeper

Shake me if you can. 
Because this port got all the time in the world.

Superstocks and The "Informant"

For today's post, I would like you to join me in appreciating renaissance art.

I rarely go to forums or social media to read "Anong meron" or What's up posts regarding super stocks. And recently I just did. Usually, my reason for reading is to be entertained by the mudslinging between the hypers and bashers. And my usual reaction?

"Dafuq did i Just read."

Who still remembers BHI's "Gabay" from 3 years ago? No disrespect to the person, but you know a stock's end is near when you find a crowd of hypers hungry for the next post of a personality i shall now call "the informant."

BTW, Those days were "The Days" of chain basuras.

Anyways, don't you find it strange that this informant who to be honest, hasn't been a notorious rumormonger for some time, suddenly pops out of nowhere with all this information and stuff? And talk about timing! Why now? Why not when it was trading before the super move?

And the funny thing is, the majority would accept anything this person says. Like some holy prophet or something.

I now give you this crown and you will be called the "Anointed One" , respected and known throughout  the stock forums or whatever social media you use.

*Dramatic Sound Effect Plays*

I know it's sound crazy. But if you don't believe me, go and check out those forums and social media. And if you already know about these "Anointed Ones" could you post the links on the comments below so future readers would be enlightened? Thanks.

Spoiler alert: It will probably look like this:



"What is our tip for today, your grace? Hath the gods spoken of the coming disclosure?"

"Fear not my ignorant followers! The gods have spoken. And the holy grail shall be ours soon. Or probably half a fortnight (next week)."

The end is near and at this stage, only a few people dare warn of the impending doom. Because, anyone who attempts to do so would face terrible consequences.

"Repent from your Greed and Selleth thy stocks! The end is near!"

"What nonsense! What Blasphemy!"

I'm not saying any of the current superstocks are going to end anytime now. But then again, I kinda am. I just feel like I had to post this so that people who think I'm hyping and who think i'm bullish would think otherwise. (Or not.)

Oh. And the ending of every superstock? Remember those bashers or even a few of those who were hypers? This is what they will tell you.

"I told you so!" 

 Pretty annoying right?

Especially if you didn't get out alive.

And as for The Informant?
Probably off to some foreign country.
IYKWIM.

Thoughts on Target Prices (TPs)

Remember during the DIZ days when some smart ass broker released their "research" and their projected TP of 100+? Where is it now? Poor thing didn't even reach the 70s. And poor people who held because of that darned research.

As of this writing, 1:00PM 10/28/2014, IS just made another new All time high (ATH). So if you sold because of the 0.50 TP, I guess you can make most out of it by learning from the experience. So don't set TPs, Set Trailing Stops. (TSs)


Some people have been spreading around the "NEW" TP which is 1.00. I personally think everybody should have this mindset: 

If ever somebody tells you a TP, what do we say?

Forgive me, but somebody had to say it.

The Rise of Super Basuras : Thoughts, Confessions, Warnings

Before you continue reading, If you have AR, IS or any 3rd liner stock that you have or are planning to buy, then this post is for you. If you don't play 3rd liners, then you better waste your time somewhere else.

Thank you!

A lot of people have been asking me if I have IS or AR. Or if I knew what was happening to these two and why. And I'm sure there are a lot of Rumors and "Facts" and crazy Target Prices circling around the internet. But to answer all those PM's , DM's and future M's, I would like to say: "I have no idea." 

Allow me to explain.

A few months ago, I started to keep my distance from forums, social media groups, and even my buddies relating to stocks. I know that feeling of chasing stocks and wanting to know what's going on. But I'd like to tell you right now that knowing the rumors or even the facts don't really help much - even if those are 1st hand facts!

Oh please tell me more about those "FACTS"

And there's a very good reason why the experts call it "Market Noise." 

In my years of trading, I have lost more money by listening and putting my faith and hope to these rumors and facts than me 'dart-boarding' 3rd liners. And that, my dear readers and students, is a fact. Everybody starts as noobs. But not everybody grows to be traders. (or *ahem* professional Basureros)

No matter how you look at it, when Playing with Basuras, It's BURN or BE BURNED

Now before I proceed any further, I would just like to set the record straight, I am not endorsing these stocks. Although in a way, I am. But you get the point right? Before you enter into the trade, do your homework. Don't copy. And don't say crap like "But my plan is to follow YOUR plan!" Because when that plan fails and things go sour, you'd most probably play the blame game. But in reality, the only one that deserves that blame is you.


Unless of course your "Guru" pressed that darned Buy button for you!

"Oooooops."

Am I being too emotional?

Here's a little chick from the farm to send you good vibes.

"nawwwww"

Alright, now let's get into those charts.

AR

 Now, you've probably seen and heard of the common TP's and charts, so I present to you a "what if" the current 52 week high ( .0086) and the psychological .01 get's broken scenario, then what? There are probably a lot of resistances after .01 but the boss of resistances after that is at .013

Again, only consider this scenario possible when the current 52 week high gets broken.

AR 10-Year Monthly Chart

I'm not really a fan of patatas stocks. I got burned a lot of times because of listening to this "Guru" and his Anointed Ones. But I'm thankful for his existence - And to all the other "Gurus" and Backstabbers. For I survived and learned how to smell sh!t and propaganda from a mile away. 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

IS

IS 3 Month Daily Chart

I hate to explain things over and over again. So I'll just leave this link here.
http://zeefreaks.blogspot.com/2012/10/apm-rise-of-borg.html

I would just like to add: when a stock breaks it's ATH (All Time High) , there are NO exact TPs (Target Prices). Those are just illusions. Like experiencing and chasing after a mirage in the middle of a desert or some god-forsaken place.






I had a good chat with a friend who had IS and told me that he sold his shares at 0.5 because apparently, his tipster told him that the dear 'Jocks' had set the TP and run until 0.5 only.

He was so happy his 0.5 GTC sell got hit.

Dear friend, if you are reading this I do hope you don't skin your tipster alive this coming Monday.

"SHHHTAAAP!" 

So don't set TPs. Just don't. 
Set TSs (Trailing Stops) instead.

Folks, just remember that by the end of the day, no matter how crappy or fundamentally sound the stock, it is emotions that drive the price, quantified and simplified into those little cute things you call candlesticks.

If you're wondering how my port is doing after a long hiatus:

(Click Image to Enlarge)

And btw, I made a quiz just for fun and in connection to my last blogpost. Which Trader Alignment do you have?

Click here to take the test.

Have Fun!

The 9 Alignments of Traders

Too lazy to make an introduction. 

As the title suggests.... oh just read the title will ya? 

Alright, let's start: 

# 1

These guys are everywhere. In forums and other social media. Sometimes you just wonder if their kindness is for real or not. But be wary though, not all of them are good for you. While most of them have a good heart, only a few actually know what they are doing.

AKA Gurus, Master Ginyos.

LAWFUL GOOD

"Bring enlightenment to all traders, I come."

____________________________________________________

# 2

You should definitely get a few of these people as allies. They love spreading truth and honest to goodness analysis - no matter how bad it is. They practically do the homework you're supposed to do.

NEUTRAL GOOD

"Fear not uninformed citizen! I shall impart my 

knowledge of the good and evil of the company."

____________________________________________________

# 3

This is the majority of the people you meet. They want to profit as much as you do and they want it now! They party together, cry together, be 'ipit' together. Oh you know what I mean. 

Hanging out with these groups for longer periods can be dangerous to your trading style. So 'hang' in moderation.

CHAOTIC GOOD

"Together we shall draw the charts 

and make everybody happy hearts."

____________________________________________________

# 4

This group of traders are usually the lonely, misunderstood players in the markets. Slow, boring, and tend to explain things in a very technical way - as if listening to some mysterious ancient  language.

LAWFUL NEUTRAL

"The only Friend i have is the Trend."

____________________________________________________

# 5

I'm sure you've encountered at least one trader who is like this. That one trader who seems to know everything and yet doesn't give you a damn straight answer. 

TRUE NEUTRAL

"The collective prohibits me to give any feedback on your stock."

____________________________________________________

# 6

"How the hell are you supposed to profit when everything is red?"

Oh these guys know the answer to that. They love it when everything and everyone is in pain; 

you might even hear their sadistic laughs if you listen hard enough.

CHAOTIC NEUTRAL

"Let there be blood on the streets! #Permabear #Gigols"

____________________________________________________

# 7

You MIGHT have already met this exclusive group of basterds. They have enough buying power to control a few to several stocks. Oh how you wish you could be part of this group. But then again, once you're IN, you can never get OUT. Be very careful.

LAWFUL EVIL

"Are you talking to ME?
We shall bring order in the markets! 

Call the crew! Let's jock this B#&!!"

____________________________________________________

# 8

Traders turning sadists with tons of buying power or shares - just waiting for the right time to short and unleash the evil they have amassed. Can't blame them though, they earned it. This group originally comes from all the "Neutrals" we mentioned above. And after selling, they love looking back at their work and say "I Told You So."

NEUTRAL EVIL

"There is a natural order in every stock cycle. 

And the current cycle is death!"

____________________________________________________

# 9

If there was a crystal for evil of the purest form, this group would be it. They just want to watch the world burn. And if they would be given the chance to sell odd lots to everyone, oh they would!

Don't worry. They have a special place in hell.

CHAOTIC EVIL

"The stock did a break out I hear? 

Let me sell a couple of millions for entertainment."

So which Alignment do YOU have?