Great things start with small beginnings.
Most traders when starting out, make the mistake of trading
with all they have, trading big or going all in - Instead of experimenting and starting small.
The path to a consistent, profitable system, always starts with
experimentation. Because admit it, even if you read all those
books and blogs, mimic your favorite guru, watch
expert trading videos...
Knowing...
is very different from Doing.
One of the basic self-check, flow chart a beginner
must have when trading is this.
must have when trading is this.
It always starts with a trading plan.
And the emphasis is more on the volume of the trade
and your mental state if ever you lost the trade.
and your mental state if ever you lost the trade.
Why?
Because the trader's mental and emotional capacity has an
interesting correlation to the volume of the trade.
Confused?
Here's an example.
Scenario 1:
You allocated 1/10th of your portfolio to DNL.
Whether you win or lose, this will probably be your reaction:
Nothing much really. Because the volume wasn't
that significant to move your port to begin with.
----------------------------------------------
Scenario 2:
You allocated at least 1/2 of your port to TAPET
at the lows before it went sky high.
Your probable reaction?
#YOLO
You get a confidence boost - Feeling like some
hero or tyrant that can conquer anything in the world.
----------------------------------------------
Scenario 3:
You went all in FNI because of strong FA and TA.
(Facebook Analysis / Tsismis Analysis)
Your reaction?
(Admit it... you sang that one out)
----------------------------------------------
Makes sense now huh?
Now when you document a trade, add up the numbers.
And after getting a hefty sum of trades, review and look for
the plays you are strongest and those that you are weakest.
And after getting a hefty sum of trades, review and look for
the plays you are strongest and those that you are weakest.
(Sample Trade Stats) |
This doesn't mean that you should stop trading the setups that you
are weakest. But it should be a challenge for you to experiment
and practice until you finally get your batting average
into the green.
These numbers speak out to YOU. Think of the 'wins' column
as confidence points. The greater the wins you have, the
more volume you can allocate. The greater the losses
you have, the lesser the volume you should commit.
When you gain confidence because of the numerous trial and
errors, and when you can properly handle and tolerate losses to a
certain degree of exposure, only then should you "up the dose."
errors, and when you can properly handle and tolerate losses to a
certain degree of exposure, only then should you "up the dose."
I recommend risking only 1-2% of your portfolio per trade. This will allow you to stay longer in the game.
And why am I emphasizing on Losses?
Because losses are inevitable.
Also because when I started out, I remembered and learned
from my losses more than my winning trades. You're already in pain, take something from it.
Everyone loses. But the only time it truly becomes a loss,
is when you don't learn from the experience.
Thanks sir zeefreaks. Thank you for guiding us and for your will to stop/lessen the victims of other selfish groups. # Perseus
ReplyDeletesir zee, im an avid follower of your blog and hope someday I can make you proud. naguguluhan lang po ako sa breakout plays ( seems to me kc un ung best play and na malaki risk/reward ratio). my question is, do you buy the moment na nagbreakout? or sa closing ng market? or do an intraday analysis (to determine the best entry for that day) once it touches the breakout within that day? most of the time kasi it's either too high (malayo na sa breakout point which is the right entry) or it's a fake (may whipsaw sa ending dahil sa mga bwisit na jockey) ? hope you can read this, and give me some advice on this one. I dont really like to post but just want to say Thank you sa lahat ng post m, I appreciate din yung cause na gnagawa m like giving back to charity.
ReplyDeleteI buy in tranches - during the breakout, during the retracement, when it consolidates at the high, and on the closing price of that day (to prevent fake outs)
ReplyDeletethank you sir zee now almost clear na sakin , one last na lang po, with regards to ZS and AOTS. for ex,while reviewing a stock, and base sa analysis, the said stock has a potential to zs and AOTS anytime soon , nakaposition na po ba kayo before pa ng ZS? (say for example 1 tranche) or you wait for it to actually confirm itself. d ko kasi mahuli ung ZS eh. most of the time huli na. Thank you for your time sir zee.
ReplyDeleteHello po, I'm a newbie in trading po and trying to study different terms and strategies. Medyo wala po kasi akong mahanap ng clear definition ng AOTS and ZS. Ask ko lang po sana kung ano po yung meaning nun. Thank you in advance!
DeleteAOTS- Alignment of the Stars
DeleteZS- Zeus Strike
Please check out previous blogs of the author.
Before the ZS, I most probably have a position already. If not, then I buy during the ZS. If the price action proves to be strong, I hold and wait for AOTS and trend break.
ReplyDeletethanks again sir Zee, wla na po ako question , sa ngayon practice and re read na ako. Thank you for your TIME.
DeleteSalamat po ZF sa mga blog mo. Malaking tulong po sa aming baguhan. Kailangan ko lang ulit-uliten na basahin dahil malalim :)
ReplyDeleteSyanga pala, bakit di pwedeng mag-post ng comment gamit ang google account - curious lang po.
Salamat
Pwede naman. :3
DeleteBoss, when you position meron ba kayong allotted deadline/timeframe na dapat gumalaw na or else ililipat mo na pera mo? Or do you wait for confirmation (either by getting stopped out or by the actual foreseen move) no matter how long it takes?
ReplyDeleteYes. I have a timeframe for my positions. UNLESS nakalagay sa sleeper port where I can just do a GTC and "come what may"
DeleteBecause time lost in consolidation is opportunity loss in other moving stocks.
Still reading and reading your blogs to get your message and advice to sink in, very profound advice and thoughts when I think about the wrong trades I made, even though it still pains me to reflect on my losses and stupidity.
ReplyDeleteSometimes pain is necessary for learning.
DeleteI couldn't stress this enough... (Y)
Deletemay link po ba kyo for sleeper type ng play? un ba ung ZS play? d ko ata mahanap ung sleeper type, basura plays bounce plays, borg lang po nakta k sa archive. galing nyo po, sir Z.
ReplyDeleteSleeper is ZS.
ReplyDeleteWhat is your criteria for ZS? Is it just the 20 and 50 MA crossing or do you check if it has volume?
ReplyDeleteWhat is your criteria for ZS? Is it just the 20 and 50 MA crossing or do you check if it has volume?
ReplyDeleteThese are the type of post I like to read - like in your old blogs. Thank you for sharing wisdom.
ReplyDeleteWhat is ZS and AOTS, I've been reading your blog backwards and haven't come across this terms yet. Thanks.
ReplyDeleteZS =Zeus Strike
DeleteAOTS = Alignment of the Stars
There are several posts about it.
Just WOw! Im amaze on your trading plans sir!
ReplyDeleteso much learning in a simple but profound posts .... I couldn't thank you enough. The equivalent amount for this effort is not something that anyone can pay. High regard and respect to you Master Zee! Continue making a difference for you just did to me.
ReplyDeleteThank you Sir Zeefreaks for writing this! You truly are awesome and one of the coolest traders ever!
ReplyDeleteHow to spot before a zs occurs? If yu spot early will it turn out to be one?
ReplyDeleteTnx sir.
thanks boss, nag cconduct po ba kayo seminar oversea?
ReplyDeleteHi Sir Zee (feeling close). I'd like to express my gratitude in reading your blogs. Thank you very much for sharing your experience and wisdom, it enlightens and brings back the determination I need to strive further. May God continue to bless you. Merry Christmas! ^_^
ReplyDeleteyup i sang the "This Port is on FAYA!" sa bitcoin
ReplyDeleteweh zeefreaks pasikat. patingan nga port mo! dami dami mo tinatype baka mamaya wala naman kwenta.
ReplyDeleteJust what I need ryt now! True enough sir zee. I learned more on that one losing streak I had this wk than those consistent small gains I had before that. Newbie here po and Im learning a lot just by reading your blog posts! Thank you po! Hope to meet you in person 😊
ReplyDeleteGood read
ReplyDeleteif someone really pays attention on every details of your blogs, it decodes your set ups :) even your reply were all beneficial.
ReplyDeleteThank you very interesting point.
ReplyDeleteThank you very interesting point.
ReplyDeleteDOne
ReplyDeletethanks
ReplyDeleteVery informative. Lalo na ung Batting average. Like nga ung minention ni Mark Minervini. Thank you so much sir Zeefreaks. I will start doing it.,
ReplyDeletethank you sir zee for this para maka learn po kami from you. actually kinanta ko din po yung "this port is on FAYAAA hahhahaa
ReplyDeleteVery true indeed sir, more often my emotions really play more than sticking to my original pl again only to find out later yong gain naging loss pa. Emotional mgmt is very impt indeed
ReplyDeleteThank you Sir Z. Having a Short and Long Leash on emotions have its perks. but then the exposure comes in... Learned from this..
ReplyDeleteThank you sa knowledge sir 🙂
ReplyDelete❤️❤️
ReplyDelete